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Prediction history

Market #2535468

6/21/2026, 00:01:17 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 24¢

Yes looks overpriced relative to the recent drift lower and lack of momentum into the threshold.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Yes at 0.24 vs implied low base rate · 1-week Yes trend down 0.18 · No side remains dominant
Yes bearish ↓ Edge -5% Confidence 71%

Price implies ~24% Yes. Recent action is flat-to-down and the 1-week trend remains sharply lower, suggesting the market still overstates a near-term return to 60+.