Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
24¢
Yes looks overpriced relative to the recent drift lower and lack of momentum into the threshold.
Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望
Triggers Yes at 0.24 vs implied low base rate · 1-week Yes trend down 0.18 · No side remains dominant
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-5% Confidence
71%
Price implies ~24% Yes. Recent action is flat-to-down and the 1-week trend remains sharply lower, suggesting the market still overstates a near-term return to 60+.