Unified market view

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Data gap

No data

Model edge No model view

Confidence —

Current price 26¢

Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 26¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $94,390. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 7/8/2026, 15:40:24

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

26¢

Volume (24h) ?

$362,424

Liquidity ?

$94,390

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-46.3%

Momentum ?

13.3%

Volatility ?

3.0%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

25¢ 860

24¢ 930.02

23¢ 4,079.5

22¢ 4,267.29

21¢ 9,725.99

Asks

26¢ 7,036.46

27¢ 13,541.25

28¢ 31,787.86

29¢ 886

30¢ 814.99

Price history

Interval: 6h

7/8/2026, 15:18:16 25¢

7/8/2026, 15:20:03 24.5¢

7/8/2026, 15:22:06 24.5¢

7/8/2026, 15:24:04 25¢

7/8/2026, 15:26:12 25¢

7/8/2026, 15:28:08 25¢

7/8/2026, 15:30:07 25¢

7/8/2026, 15:32:06 25¢

7/8/2026, 15:34:05 25.5¢

7/8/2026, 15:36:04 25.5¢

7/8/2026, 15:38:04 25.5¢

7/8/2026, 15:39:04 25.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades

Sell · No 7/8/2026, 09:15:53

$7,539 71.01¢