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Prediction history

Market #2758337

7/21/2026, 18:02:31 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 12.3¢

No strong mispricing: Yes is near fair value with bearish short-term momentum, but the edge is too small to buy or sell aggressively.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Yes at 12.3% vs estimated ~11% · 1h and 6h Yes trend lower · Orderbook slightly favors No
Yes bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 69%

Market implies ~12.3% yes; recent 1h/6h price action is soft and orderbook leans slightly to No. I estimate Yes closer to 11%, so modest negative edge.