Polysage · Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni
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Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Facundo Mena → 0%
Confidence 98%
Current price 99.9¢
Model gpt-5.4-mini

No clear edge at the current price. Liquidity is high, but Facundo Mena is already priced as a near-lock, so expected value is negligible.

Watch triggers
  • Current price 0.999
  • No remaining pricing edge
  • High liquidity, tight spread
Why not now

No clear edge at the current price. Liquidity is high, but Facundo Mena is already priced as a near-lock, so expected value is negligible.

Revisit when

Current price 0.999 · No remaining pricing edge · High liquidity, tight spread

Execution guard

Price 99.9¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $370,959. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 7/8/2026, 01:51:09

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$973,192

Liquidity ?

$0

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

57.4%

Volatility ?

7.9%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Facundo Mena

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

7/8/2026, 00:12:04 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:14:05 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:16:06 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:18:04 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:20:05 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:22:04 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:24:18 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:26:03 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:28:04 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:30:04 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:32:03 99.95¢
7/8/2026, 00:34:04 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Facundo Mena → 0% 7/8/2026, 00:00:40

No clear edge at the current price. Liquidity is high, but Facundo Mena is already priced as a near-lock, so expected value is negligible.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.