Polysage · Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini
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Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Marta Kostyuk ↑ +1%
Confidence 58%
Current price 72¢
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Price momentum favors Kostyuk, but the bid-ask is tight and depth is balanced, leaving little clear edge at 0.72.

Watch triggers
  • 1w price up from 0.61 to 0.715
  • best bid/ask tightly clustered at 0.71/0.72
  • orderbook depth nearly balanced
Why not now

Price momentum favors Kostyuk, but the bid-ask is tight and depth is balanced, leaving little clear edge at 0.72.

Revisit when

1w price up from 0.61 to 0.715 · best bid/ask tightly clustered at 0.71/0.72 · orderbook depth nearly balanced

Execution guard

Price 72¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $415,555. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 7/8/2026, 13:43:39

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

97.5¢

Volume (24h) ?

$4,780,238

Liquidity ?

$171,366

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.7¢

Depth imbalance ?

-91.3%

Momentum ?

38.2%

Volatility ?

1.6%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Marta Kostyuk

Bids

98¢ 51.2
97.8¢ 250
97.2¢ 40
97.1¢ 40
97¢ 113.63

Asks

98.7¢ 300
98.8¢ 200
98.9¢ 800
99¢ 9,487.84
99.2¢ 87

Price history

Interval: 6h

7/8/2026, 13:22:05 92¢
7/8/2026, 13:24:04 91.5¢
7/8/2026, 13:26:04 93.5¢
7/8/2026, 13:28:08 97.5¢
7/8/2026, 13:30:06 96.5¢
7/8/2026, 13:32:08 97.35¢
7/8/2026, 13:34:05 98¢
7/8/2026, 13:36:11 97.2¢
7/8/2026, 13:38:15 93.65¢
7/8/2026, 13:40:07 97.5¢
7/8/2026, 13:42:07 97.7¢
7/8/2026, 13:43:07 97.45¢

Prediction history

Full history
Marta Kostyuk ↑ +1% 7/8/2026, 12:00:21

Price momentum favors Kostyuk, but the bid-ask is tight and depth is balanced, leaving little clear edge at 0.72.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 11:43:46
$60,601 71¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 11:42:22
$110,982 71¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 11:13:10
$92,868 71¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 10:52:20
$62,043 71¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 10:22:01
$144,127 70¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 10:18:17
$211,947 69¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 10:17:38
$208,133 69¢
Buy · Marta Kostyuk 7/8/2026, 10:17:20
$196,788 69¢