Unified market view

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge San Diego Padres ↓ -4%

Confidence 70%

Price at model run 32¢ Model run: 7/23/2026, 00:00:40

Live best ask 28¢ Live update: 7/23/2026, 01:04:38

Model gpt-5.4-mini

No clear value at current price; market move and book both point against Padres, but spread is tight and edge is modest.

Watch triggers

Padres price down 15-16% in 1h
Braves favored at 0.66-0.67
Tight 1-cent spread

Why not now

No clear value at current price; market move and book both point against Padres, but spread is tight and edge is modest.

Revisit when

Padres price down 15-16% in 1h · Braves favored at 0.66-0.67 · Tight 1-cent spread

Execution guard

Price 28¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $176,708. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 7/23/2026, 01:04:38

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

28¢

Volume (24h) ?

$642,438

Liquidity ?

$176,708

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

2.8%

Momentum ?

-2.1%

Volatility ?

8.5%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome San Diego Padres

Bids

45¢ 41,707.02

44¢ 8,846.13

43¢ 17,736.35

42¢ 32,720.4

41¢ 1,462.61

Asks

46¢ 6,031.18

47¢ 56,706.22

48¢ 32,781.9

49¢ 1,207.58

50¢ 80

Price history

Interval: 6h

7/23/2026, 00:42:06 28.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:44:06 31.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:46:06 30.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:48:06 31.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:50:06 33.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:52:06 28.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:54:05 25.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:56:06 24.5¢

7/23/2026, 00:58:05 27.5¢

7/23/2026, 01:00:20 28.5¢

7/23/2026, 01:02:06 27.5¢

7/23/2026, 01:03:06 47.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

San Diego Padres ↓ -4% 7/23/2026, 00:00:40

No clear value at current price; market move and book both point against Padres, but spread is tight and edge is modest.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · San Diego Padres 7/22/2026, 22:49:55

$86,993 50¢