Polysage · Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter
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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Risky tape

Hold
Model edge Luis Carlos Alvarez → 0%
Confidence 96%
Price at model run Model run: 7/26/2026, 06:03:01
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 7/26/2026, 07:19:59
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Avoid trading: the contract is already priced at 0.01 with no visible bid liquidity and no reliable edge from history alone.

Watch triggers
  • Best ask at 0.001
  • Current price 0.01
  • No bid liquidity
Why not now

Avoid trading: the contract is already priced at 0.01 with no visible bid liquidity and no reliable edge from history alone.

Revisit when

Best ask at 0.001 · Current price 0.01 · No bid liquidity

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity $0. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 7/26/2026, 07:19:59

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$516,118

Liquidity ?

$0

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

13.2%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Luis Carlos Alvarez

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

7/26/2026, 04:25:07 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:26:05 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:27:07 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:28:07 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:29:06 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:30:18 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:31:08 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:32:06 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:33:09 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:34:06 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:35:08 0.05¢
7/26/2026, 04:36:06 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history
Luis Carlos Alvarez → 0% 7/26/2026, 06:03:01

Avoid trading: the contract is already priced at 0.01 with no visible bid liquidity and no reliable edge from history alone.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.