Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
87¢
Price is near fair value with a wide imbalance favoring No on the book but limited immediate catalyst to justify paying 0.87 for Yes.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes at 0.87 is already expensive · Orderbook strongly bids No · No clear new escalation signal
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+2% Confidence
58%
Ceasefire is still in place and the market already prices a high continuation probability; recent drift lower suggests modest downside, but deep bid support and no fresh conflict catalyst imply a small positive edge only.