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Prediction history

Market #3146141

7/30/2026, 18:00:56 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

Current price is too close to certainty; expected upside is negligible and downside to a fair-price correction is large.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers bestAsk at 1.0 · bestBid 0.999 · No meaningful edge
Southern Brave neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 98%

Price is already at 0.999 with extreme bid depth and no ask liquidity, leaving essentially no tradable edge despite strong market conviction.