Polysage · Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Brandon Nakashima ↑ +2%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 18¢ Model run: 8/2/2026, 00:00:26
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/2/2026, 00:41:31
Model gpt-5.4-mini

No clear mispricing: Nakashima is cheap, but the market has recently repriced strongly toward Fritz and the data do not justify a confident entry at current levels.

Watch triggers
  • Fritz price surged recently
  • Nakashima remains heavily discounted
  • Tight spread, high liquidity
Why not now

No clear mispricing: Nakashima is cheap, but the market has recently repriced strongly toward Fritz and the data do not justify a confident entry at current levels.

Revisit when

Fritz price surged recently · Nakashima remains heavily discounted · Tight spread, high liquidity

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity $439,374. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/2/2026, 00:41:31

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$657,427

Liquidity ?

$439,374

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

20.2%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Brandon Nakashima

Bids

Asks

0.1¢ 352,641.04
0.9¢ 552
34,529.03
411.97
285.26

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/2/2026, 00:15:10 4.5¢
8/2/2026, 00:17:07 7.5¢
8/2/2026, 00:19:10 2.5¢
8/2/2026, 00:21:09 2.1¢
8/2/2026, 00:23:09 2.5¢
8/2/2026, 00:25:11 2.8¢
8/2/2026, 00:27:11 8.15¢
8/2/2026, 00:29:10 0.05¢
8/2/2026, 00:31:10 0.05¢
8/2/2026, 00:33:09 0.05¢
8/2/2026, 00:35:08 0.05¢
8/2/2026, 00:36:10 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history
Brandon Nakashima ↑ +2% 8/2/2026, 00:00:26

No clear mispricing: Nakashima is cheap, but the market has recently repriced strongly toward Fritz and the data do not justify a confident entry at current levels.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.