Polysage · Prediction history

8/2/2026, 06:31:33 gpt-5.4-mini

Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 99.9¢

The market is fully priced and extremely ill-defined at current levels, leaving no room for favorable entry.

Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望

Triggers Current price 0.999 · 0.001 spread · No incremental edge from history

Arthur Gea neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 98%

Price is already pinned near 1.0 with a 0.1% spread, so there is no actionable edge despite the recent move.

8/2/2026, 06:21:42 gpt-5.4-mini

Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

Price is effectively maxed out and liquidity is ample, leaving no actionable upside from current levels.

Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 1.0 · Current price 0.999 · No meaningful edge

Arthur Gea neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 98%

Market is already at 0.999/1.0 with extremely tight spread; no detectable edge versus price.

8/2/2026, 06:11:35 gpt-5.4-mini

Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 99.9¢

Arthur Gea is trading at an extreme price with very limited further upside and poor risk-reward for entry.

Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 1.0 · Current price 0.999 · Tiny 0.1% spread

Arthur Gea neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 92%

Price is already at 0.999 with a 0.1% spread, leaving essentially no upside. Recent momentum is fully priced, so there is no measurable edge.

8/2/2026, 06:03:04 gpt-5.4-mini

Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

No actionable edge at 0.999; the market already implies near-certain Arthur Gea, leaving minimal expected value either way.

Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 1.0 · Price near ceiling · No measurable edge

Arthur Gea neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 55%

Price is already at the ceiling (0.999) with no discernible upside; history shows the market has fully priced Arthur Gea and liquidity is too one-sided to imply further edge.