Polysage · National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
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National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Michael Zheng ↑ +2%
Confidence 56%
Price at model run 59¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 00:00:54
Live best ask 59¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 01:57:29
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Momentum favors Zheng, but the current price looks close to fair and the spread reduces conviction.

Watch triggers
  • 1d price up to 0.59
  • 1h trend still positive
  • Orderbook support is modest
Why not now

Momentum favors Zheng, but the current price looks close to fair and the spread reduces conviction.

Revisit when

1d price up to 0.59 · 1h trend still positive · Orderbook support is modest

Execution guard

Price 59¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $92,671. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/3/2026, 01:57:29

Signal

Buy

Best ask ?

59¢

Volume (24h) ?

$394,323

Liquidity ?

$92,671

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

42.4%

Momentum ?

45.7%

Volatility ?

2.6%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning up
  • Bid depth outweighs asks
  • Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Michael Zheng

Bids

58¢ 935.26
57¢ 1,446
56¢ 371
55¢ 4,480.98
54¢ 10,243.33

Asks

60¢ 2,821.91
61¢ 421
62¢ 314
63¢ 1,783.61
64¢ 1,735

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/3/2026, 01:36:09 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:38:10 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:40:09 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:42:08 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:44:10 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:46:11 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:48:11 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:50:08 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:52:08 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:54:10 58.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:56:10 59¢
8/3/2026, 01:57:10 59¢

Prediction history

Full history
Michael Zheng ↑ +2% 8/3/2026, 00:00:54

Momentum favors Zheng, but the current price looks close to fair and the spread reduces conviction.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.