Polysage · Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar
Polysage Electronic cricket fights for Polymarket odds
Connect wallet Telegram
Back to intelligence

Unified market view

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold
Model edge Taylor Fritz → -3%
Confidence 66%
Price at model run 63¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 00:01:10
Live best ask 63¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 01:50:43
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Fritz is favored, but the current price looks efficient with limited edge and modest spread; better to wait than chase at 0.63.

Watch triggers
  • Stable last-trade near 0.63
  • No strong momentum shift
  • Balanced liquidity and tight spread
Why not now

Fritz is favored, but the current price looks efficient with limited edge and modest spread; better to wait than chase at 0.63.

Revisit when

Stable last-trade near 0.63 · No strong momentum shift · Balanced liquidity and tight spread

Execution guard

Price 63¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $246,198. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/3/2026, 01:50:43

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

63¢

Volume (24h) ?

$425,593

Liquidity ?

$246,198

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-23.2%

Momentum ?

5.0%

Volatility ?

0.3%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Taylor Fritz

Bids

62¢ 18,737.56
61¢ 13,557.09
60¢ 744
59¢ 62,356.8
58¢ 1,082.7

Asks

63¢ 41,772.6
64¢ 15,143.49
65¢ 13,828.3
66¢ 64,872.8
67¢ 19,281.8

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/3/2026, 01:28:10 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:30:23 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:32:10 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:34:07 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:36:08 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:38:10 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:40:08 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:42:07 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:44:09 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:46:10 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:48:10 62.5¢
8/3/2026, 01:49:10 62.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Taylor Fritz → -3% 8/3/2026, 00:01:10

Fritz is favored, but the current price looks efficient with limited edge and modest spread; better to wait than chase at 0.63.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.