5/28/2026, 12:02:23 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
28.5¢
Slight negative edge on Yes and favorable liquidity to sell into a tight spread. Momentum has stalled after a weekly run-up, while book imbalance favors No.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers No side has deeper top-of-book liquidity · 1h/6h price unchanged · Weekly move already large
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-3% Confidence
64%
Price implies about 28.5% title odds; recent drift is flat and the order book leans against Yes, with deeper bids on No. Knicks still have some path, but current price looks a bit rich versus a cautious model view.
5/27/2026, 06:00:40 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
28.3¢
Current price near 0.283 appears rich versus recent weakening momentum and book imbalance; better risk/reward is to fade Yes.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers 1w move up 10 pts · 24h price down · ask depth > bid depth
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-3% Confidence
72%
Price has risen sharply over the week, but recent 1d/6h momentum is down and orderbook slightly favors No; Knicks still look overvalued at current ask.
5/26/2026, 06:00:57 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
28.5¢
Price has strong upward momentum, but the market now sits near the upper end of recent range and the edge looks modest versus current ask.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers 1w price up 11.9 pts · 24h price up 2.6 pts · tight 0.3% spread
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+2% Confidence
57%
Knicks probability has risen sharply over 1w and 1d, but current price already reflects much of that move; orderbook is tight with only mild bid support. Small residual upside remains if momentum continues.
5/26/2026, 00:01:47 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
25.9¢
Price momentum is positive, yet the move already narrows value and liquidity at current levels looks balanced enough to avoid chasing.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers 1d price up 3.5% · 1w price up 11.8% · tight 0.1% spread
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+2% Confidence
61%
Knicks price has risen fast, but the orderbook still shows strong ask resistance above spot and no clear catalyst. I estimate slightly better than current implied odds, but only a small edge.
5/24/2026, 18:01:41 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
23.2¢
The market is liquid and efficient-looking, with the Knicks trading near the ask after a strong run. I see a modest bearish lean on Yes, but not enough to justify a clear trade at current pricing.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers 1w up 9.1 pts · Current price 0.232 · Tight 0.1% spread
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-4% Confidence
61%
Price has risen sharply over 1d/1w, but current 23.2% still looks a bit rich for a title future with no roster/context edge shown. Orderbook is tight and balanced, so no strong catalyst for further upside.
