Yes ↓ -3% 5/28/2026, 12:02:23
Slight negative edge on Yes and favorable liquidity to sell into a tight spread. Momentum has stalled after a weekly run-up, while book imbalance favors No.
Unified market view
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Decision state
Watch trigger
Hold
Model edge Yes ↓ -3%
Confidence 64%
Current price 28.5¢
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Slight negative edge on Yes and favorable liquidity to sell into a tight spread. Momentum has stalled after a weekly run-up, while book imbalance favors No.
Watch triggers
- No side has deeper top-of-book liquidity
- 1h/6h price unchanged
- Weekly move already large
Why not now
Slight negative edge on Yes and favorable liquidity to sell into a tight spread. Momentum has stalled after a weekly run-up, while book imbalance favors No.
Revisit when
No side has deeper top-of-book liquidity · 1h/6h price unchanged · Weekly move already large
Execution guard
Price 28.5¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $314,170. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 5/31/2026, 14:36:43
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
36.1¢Volume (24h) ?
$1,027,673Liquidity ?
$438,906Open interest ?
—Spread ?
0.1¢Depth imbalance ?
5.1%Momentum ?
2.3%Volatility ?
0.2%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- No strong edge detected
Rule notes
- No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.
Orderbook
Outcome Yes
Bids
36¢ 27,336.79
35.9¢ 5,042
35.8¢ 10,217.84
35.7¢ 31,115.72
35.3¢ 5,555
Asks
36.1¢ 44,631.78
36.2¢ 6,678.37
36.3¢ 7,339.64
36.4¢ 5,444
36.5¢ 7,444
Price history
Interval: 6h
5/31/2026, 14:15:05 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:17:06 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:19:04 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:21:06 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:23:05 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:25:03 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:27:04 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:29:04 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:31:07 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:33:03 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:35:04 36.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:36:03 36.05¢
Prediction history
Full historyYes ↓ -3% 5/27/2026, 06:00:40
Current price near 0.283 appears rich versus recent weakening momentum and book imbalance; better risk/reward is to fade Yes.
Yes ↑ +2% 5/26/2026, 06:00:57
Price has strong upward momentum, but the market now sits near the upper end of recent range and the edge looks modest versus current ask.
Yes ↑ +2% 5/26/2026, 00:01:47
Price momentum is positive, yet the move already narrows value and liquidity at current levels looks balanced enough to avoid chasing.
Yes ↓ -4% 5/24/2026, 18:01:41
The market is liquid and efficient-looking, with the Knicks trading near the ask after a strong run. I see a modest bearish lean on Yes, but not enough to justify a clear trade at current pricing.
Related whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.