Signal Hold Horizon
To expiry Current price
16.6¢
Price is efficient within a tight spread, with modest negative drift but no clear edge versus implied probability.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Tight 0.1% spread · No clear model edge · Recent price drift down
Yes neutral → Edge
0% Confidence
56%
France trades near 16.6% and has drifted slightly down over 1w; no strong mispricing or catalyst beyond market consensus.