Signal Hold Horizon
To expiry Current price
9¢
Price is near fair for a very remote tail outcome; liquidity is high, spread is tight, but there is no clear mispricing or short-term catalyst.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes only 9% · No side dominates book · No collapse catalyst
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-1% Confidence
73%
Yes trades at 0.09 with recent drift flat-to-down and orderbook tilting against Yes; no catalyst suggests regime collapse before 2027 remains a low-probability tail event.