Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
77¢
Near-expiry, heavy liquidity, and a rapid price move imply the market price plausibly reflects current risk; no clear buy/sell edge.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers House/Senate appropriations/CR votes or announcements · Public statements from congressional leadership or White House on funding · New OPM or federal agency announcements affecting operations
Yes neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 25%
Recent large repricing up to 77% likely incorporated fresh information; deep liquidity and balanced orderbook limit a detectable persistent mispricing.