Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
61¢
Slight bearish edge on Yes versus current price; order book and recent drift favor a lower quote, though conviction is limited by ample liquidity and a still-plausible hike path.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers 1d price fell from 0.655 to 0.615 · Ask depth > bid depth on Yes · No new hawkish catalyst in data
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-5% Confidence
66%
Yes is priced at 0.61, but recent 1d momentum is down and the ask-side depth exceeds bid depth at the top of book. The market still implies a meaningful chance of a 2026 hike, yet current tape suggests modest downside unless macro inflation re-accelerates.