Unified market view

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge Yes ↓ -3%

Confidence 61%

Current price 66¢

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Market is close to fairly priced; momentum favors Yes but upside looks limited at current 0.66 with no strong fresh catalyst.

Watch triggers

1w Yes price up 27 pts
Top ask depth exceeds bid depth
Need clearer Fed inflation/recession shift

Why not now

Market is close to fairly priced; momentum favors Yes but upside looks limited at current 0.66 with no strong fresh catalyst.

Revisit when

1w Yes price up 27 pts · Top ask depth exceeds bid depth · Need clearer Fed inflation/recession shift

Execution guard

Price 66¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $136,358. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 6/21/2026, 11:21:39

Signal

Sell

Best ask ?

63¢

Volume (24h) ?

$33,880

Liquidity ?

$212,195

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

2¢

Depth imbalance ?

-59.5%

Momentum ?

-0.8%

Volatility ?

0.1%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Momentum turning down
Ask depth outweighs bids
Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

61¢ 25,251.83

60¢ 38,884.02

59¢ 12,020.22

58¢ 246.98

57¢ 5

Asks

63¢ 18,692.5

64¢ 120,229.21

65¢ 68,125.79

66¢ 46,749.56

67¢ 46,828.5

Price history

Interval: 6h

6/21/2026, 11:00:10 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:02:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:04:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:06:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:08:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:10:05 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:12:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:14:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:16:04 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:18:05 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:20:03 62¢

6/21/2026, 11:21:04 62¢

Prediction history

Full history

Yes ↓ -3% 6/20/2026, 06:01:33

Market is close to fairly priced; momentum favors Yes but upside looks limited at current 0.66 with no strong fresh catalyst.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.