Yes ↓ -8% 5/28/2026, 12:01:46
Lean short/avoid Yes at 0.36 because momentum, flow, and positioning favor No more than the current price implies.
Unified market view
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Decision state
Action: Sell
Sell
Model edge Yes ↓ -8%
Confidence 66%
Current price 36¢
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Lean short/avoid Yes at 0.36 because momentum, flow, and positioning favor No more than the current price implies.
Watch triggers
- 1d Yes fell from 0.465 to 0.355
- Best ask only 0.01 above bid
- Order book skews toward No
Action basis
Lean short/avoid Yes at 0.36 because momentum, flow, and positioning favor No more than the current price implies.
Invalidation watch
1d Yes fell from 0.465 to 0.355 · Best ask only 0.01 above bid · Order book skews toward No
Execution guard
Price 36¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $98,470. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 5/31/2026, 14:37:24
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
36¢Volume (24h) ?
$135,049Liquidity ?
$148,239Open interest ?
—Spread ?
1¢Depth imbalance ?
66.7%Momentum ?
-2.7%Volatility ?
0.5%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- No strong edge detected
Rule notes
- No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.
Orderbook
Outcome Yes
Bids
35¢ 17,162.06
34¢ 130,112.92
33¢ 22,206.18
32¢ 2,938
31¢ 2,069.73
Asks
36¢ 6,466.18
37¢ 16,148.65
38¢ 7,741.85
39¢ 3,110.65
40¢ 1,394.34
Price history
Interval: 6h
5/31/2026, 14:15:03 36.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:17:05 36.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:19:03 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:21:06 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:23:04 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:25:03 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:27:04 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:29:04 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:31:06 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:33:03 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:35:04 35.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:36:03 35.5¢
Prediction history
Full historyYes ↓ -8% 5/28/2026, 00:03:20
Current Yes price looks a bit rich relative to the recent downtrend and lack of fresh positive evidence.
Related whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.