買賣點 觀望 時間尺度
中線 當前價
31¢
Current price looks roughly efficient. Any bullish case for Yes is small, while tournament outcome risk remains high and the market has already moved up over the week.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Tight 1-cent spread · Balanced depth near top of book · Price already up 10 pts in 1w
Yes 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差
+2% 置信度
58%
Alcaraz is priced at 0.31 and the orderbook is tight with heavy two-sided liquidity; recent drift to 0.305-0.31 suggests only a modest positive edge, not a strong misprice.