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機會市場
每日 Polymarket 情報：模型偏差、鯨魚流向和異動市場匯總到一個決策入口。
今日情報
從這裡開始：每張卡片說明為什麼這個市場現在值得關注。
44 個市場 40 個最新模型 100 筆大額成交 1 個異動市場
模型觀察 Miami Marlins ↓ -100%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Marlins are priced at the ceiling with a 0.001 spread; there is no positive expected value to buy at current levels.
行動：賣出關注度 96
大額成交聚集 $450,932
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24h 內出現 9 筆顯著成交。行動前先確認鯨魚流向是否與模型觀點一致。
24h 流向市場詳情
模型觀察 Yes ↓ -8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
The current price appears above my estimated probability of a qualifying announcement, so the better trade is against Yes.
行動：賣出關注度 87
模型觀察 Yes ↓ -8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Market pricing appears a bit rich versus the strict resolution standard and the recent price drift favors No.
行動：賣出關注度 86
模型觀察 Yes ↓ -7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes is slightly cheaper than a pure coin-flip view might suggest, but the edge is small and policy-path uncertainty is high this far out. The tight spread and balanced book do not justify an aggres...
觀察觸發點關注度 83
模型觀察 Jessica Pegula ↓ -3%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala
Pegula appears slightly overpriced versus a modestly lower fair value; momentum is extended and liquidity supports fading the current ask.
觀察觸發點關注度 68
三步使用這個情報台 先看出現異動、資金流或模型偏差的市場。 進入詳情頁核對模型理由、盤口、流動性和歷史變化。 值得追蹤時再開啟 Polymarket，或訂閱 Telegram 等提醒。
僅作市場情報參考。Polysage 解釋信號與風險，不構成投資建議。
大額成交監控
監測全站單筆大額成交。 · 24h 流向 $1,811,895
市場分析
輸入 Polymarket 連結或 slug 進行分析。
共 44 筆
標題 Yes 價格 偏差 24h 成交量 流動性 更新時間 結束時間
100¢
$315,606
$335,588
08/01/2026 23:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/08/2026 20:10:00 UTC+00:00
13.8¢
$115,104
$55,881
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/07/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
37¢
$77,249
$52,880
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/15/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
43¢
$219,566
$488,745
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
09/16/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
26¢
$1,007
$17,417
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
01/01/2027 05:00:00 UTC+00:00
70¢
$81,718
$78,712
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/31/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
27¢
$56,769
$67,946
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
01/01/2027 05:00:00 UTC+00:00
0.1¢
$1,475,286
$421,320
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 21:00:00 UTC+00:00
21¢
$946,297
$1,264,372
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
13¢
$505,182
$624,146
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
56¢
$313,865
$183,323
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 15:00:00 UTC+00:00
67¢
$282,499
$247,291
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 14:00:00 UTC+00:00
89¢
$234,948
$75,128
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
24¢
$124,100
$311,223
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
09/30/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
9¢
$70,453
$61,308
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/15/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
70¢
$58,533
$91,938
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/14/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
35¢
$35,411
$211,289
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
09/30/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
51.9¢
$27,560
$401,553
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
10/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
21.5¢
$12,021
$191,394
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
10/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
82.6¢
$5,766
$70,648
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
25¢
$296,990
$188,689
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 14:00:00 UTC+00:00
57¢
$136,945
$273,907
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
68¢
$63,945
$246,773
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
12/09/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
84.7¢
$18,137
$70,738
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
2.5¢
$326,379
$147,534
08/02/2026 19:59:59 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 17:35:00 UTC+00:00
63¢
$380,816
$412,461
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 18:30:00 UTC+00:00
26¢
$81,245
$72,490
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
01/01/2027 05:00:00 UTC+00:00
49¢
$35,773
$64,650
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 20:00:00 UTC+00:00
66¢
$12,108
$331,268
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
10/04/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
45¢
$8,006
$278,821
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
11/03/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
56¢
$336,097
$571,646
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
09/16/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
99.8¢
$310,839
$9,857
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 17:35:00 UTC+00:00
69¢
$144,079
$262,643
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 14:00:00 UTC+00:00
76¢
$64,906
$87,182
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/31/2026 23:59:00 UTC+00:00
81¢
$367,031
$346,091
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 14:00:00 UTC+00:00
66¢
$597,774
$219,368
08/03/2026 17:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 08:00:00 UTC+00:00
39¢
$734,072
$953,350
08/02/2026 21:58:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 23:20:00 UTC+00:00
16¢
$630,392
$211,838
08/02/2026 21:58:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 20:10:00 UTC+00:00
37¢
$649,826
$213,345
08/03/2026 14:58:51 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 08:00:00 UTC+00:00
1.2¢
$531,379
$141,355
08/02/2026 20:58:51 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 18:10:00 UTC+00:00
100¢
$383,877
$397,656
08/02/2026 20:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 17:40:00 UTC+00:00
100¢
$354,957
$497,894
08/02/2026 20:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/10/2026 14:00:00 UTC+00:00
100¢
$484,133
$339,203
08/02/2026 20:24:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 17:37:00 UTC+00:00
100¢
$1,444,389
$3,141,170
08/02/2026 03:28:52 UTC+00:00
08/09/2026 01:10:00 UTC+00:00