Yes ↓ -2% 2026/9/9 18:04:31
Recent momentum appears stronger than the underlying evidence for a 2026 title win, implying the primary outcome may be modestly overpriced.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
買 No
模型傾向：看低執行狀態
待確認
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -2%
置信度 57%
模型運行時價格 10.6¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/9 18:04:31
即時最佳賣價 10¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/9 19:37:04
模型 OpenAI
The Yes price has surged from 1.65% to roughly 10% in a week, while the long-dated outcome remains highly uncertain and Tiafoe faces a deep, competitive field. Estimated probability is about 7.5%, below the 10.2% ask; reassess after major tournament results, injury news, or a sustained price reset.
觀察觸發點
- Reassess after Grand Slam results
- Reassess on injury or ranking news
- Reassess if price falls below 7%
為何仍需確認
The Yes price has surged from 1.65% to roughly 10% in a week, while the long-dated outcome remains highly uncertain and Tiafoe faces a deep, competitive field. Estimated probability is about 7.5%, below the 10.2% ask; reassess after major tournament results, injury news, or a sustained price reset.
重新評估條件
Reassess after Grand Slam results · Reassess on injury or ranking news · Reassess if price falls below 7%
執行約束
價格 10¢ · 價差 0.3 pts · 流動性 $73,959。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/9 19:37:04
模型觀點
觀察最佳賣價 ?
10¢24h 成交量 ?
$165,625流動性 ?
$73,959未平倉量 ?
$1,157,135價差 ?
0.3¢深度不平衡 ?
-3.0%動量 ?
7.1%波動率 ?
1.0%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
9.7¢ 111.11
8.1¢ 1,199
7.9¢ 200
7.8¢ 1,700
7.2¢ 200
賣盤
10¢ 406.03
10.1¢ 792.83
10.2¢ 30
10.3¢ 392.03
10.4¢ 2,000
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/9 19:13:22 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:15:13 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:17:13 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:19:14 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:21:13 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:23:13 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:25:13 9.8¢
2026/9/9 19:27:10 9.85¢
2026/9/9 19:29:15 9.85¢
2026/9/9 19:31:10 9.85¢
2026/9/9 19:33:13 9.85¢
2026/9/9 19:34:09 9.85¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。