模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度
中線 當前價
12.3¢
The Yes price is 12.3%, while strong bid-side depth and a substantial multi-day rebound suggest modestly higher implied probability, around 14%. The recent one-hour pullback and long time to expiry limit conviction.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Price sustains above 14% · New qualifying PortWatch data · Price falls below 10%
Yes 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差
+2% 置信度
56%
The Yes price is 12.3%, while strong bid-side depth and a substantial multi-day rebound suggest modestly higher implied probability, around 14%. The recent one-hour pullback and long time to expiry limit conviction.