Yes ↓ -2% 8/3/2026, 12:01:34
Price looks roughly efficient around 57c; modest bearish tilt on Yes, but not enough edge to justify a clear trade.
統一市場視圖
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -2%
置信度 63%
模型運行時價格 57¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:01:34
即時最佳賣價 57¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:47:49
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Price looks roughly efficient around 57c; modest bearish tilt on Yes, but not enough edge to justify a clear trade.
觀察觸發點
- Flat recent price action
- Best ask near current price
- No confirmed data breakout
為何暫不行動
Price looks roughly efficient around 57c; modest bearish tilt on Yes, but not enough edge to justify a clear trade.
重新評估條件
Flat recent price action · Best ask near current price · No confirmed data breakout
執行約束
價格 57¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $273,843。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:47:49
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
57¢24h 成交量 ?
$125,331流動性 ?
$273,843未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
10.7%動量 ?
0.0%波動率 ?
0.3%趨勢斜率 ?
-0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
56¢ 18,837.21
55¢ 27,056.01
54¢ 35,248.3
53¢ 7,880.25
52¢ 3,526.07
賣盤
57¢ 8,542.55
58¢ 27,082.31
59¢ 25,686.99
60¢ 9,699.8
61¢ 3,608
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:24:10 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:26:08 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:28:21 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:30:10 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:32:07 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:34:10 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:36:07 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:38:09 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:40:10 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:09 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:44:07 56.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:45:10 56.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 06:01:26
Current pricing looks close to fair with slight downside bias, but not enough edge to justify a trade given tight spread and balanced liquidity.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:01:15
Fairly efficient market with tight spread and no strong informational edge; current price is near my estimate, so waiting is preferable.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 18:00:54
Price has risen sharply, but the evidence only shows market repricing, not a confirmed data shift. At 0.58, edge looks minimal to slightly negative on Yes.
Yes ↓ -2% 8/2/2026, 12:01:03
Price is slightly rich versus the evidence; upside looks capped near the current ask unless fresh transit data improves materially.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 15:06:51
$5,700 57¢
買入 · No 8/3/2026, 03:54:17
$7,310 43¢