Yes ↓ -2% 8/3/2026, 18:01:48
The Yes price looks a bit rich versus recent history, with no clear catalyst for an immediate move above 0.57.
統一市場視圖
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -2%
置信度 56%
模型運行時價格 57¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 18:01:48
即時最佳賣價 58¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 18:50:16
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
The Yes price looks a bit rich versus recent history, with no clear catalyst for an immediate move above 0.57.
觀察觸發點
- Yes at 0.57
- 1h/6h trend flat
- No strong bullish imbalance
為何暫不行動
The Yes price looks a bit rich versus recent history, with no clear catalyst for an immediate move above 0.57.
重新評估條件
Yes at 0.57 · 1h/6h trend flat · No strong bullish imbalance
執行約束
價格 58¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $271,128。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 18:50:16
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
58¢24h 成交量 ?
$118,718流動性 ?
$271,128未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
-1.7%動量 ?
1.8%波動率 ?
0.3%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
57¢ 1,034.22
56¢ 26,497.22
55¢ 37,235.91
54¢ 14,916.88
53¢ 2,680.25
賣盤
58¢ 24,021.65
59¢ 37,371.48
60¢ 10,009.57
61¢ 3,833
62¢ 9,969.51
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 18:24:10 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:26:07 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:28:09 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:30:11 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:32:09 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:34:10 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:36:07 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:38:10 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:40:20 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:42:09 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:44:10 57.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:45:07 57.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -2% 8/3/2026, 12:01:34
Price looks roughly efficient around 57c; modest bearish tilt on Yes, but not enough edge to justify a clear trade.
Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 06:01:26
Current pricing looks close to fair with slight downside bias, but not enough edge to justify a trade given tight spread and balanced liquidity.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:01:15
Fairly efficient market with tight spread and no strong informational edge; current price is near my estimate, so waiting is preferable.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/2/2026, 18:00:54
Price has risen sharply, but the evidence only shows market repricing, not a confirmed data shift. At 0.58, edge looks minimal to slightly negative on Yes.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 15:06:51
$5,700 57¢
買入 · No 8/3/2026, 03:54:17
$7,310 43¢