Yes ↑ +1% 8/3/2026, 12:01:00
Price sits near my fair value with a tight spread and no decisive orderbook or trend signal. Edge is too small to justify a trade.
統一市場視圖
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↑ +1%
置信度 57%
模型運行時價格 56¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:01:00
即時最佳賣價 56¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:47:56
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Price sits near my fair value with a tight spread and no decisive orderbook or trend signal. Edge is too small to justify a trade.
觀察觸發點
- 1w price up to 0.565
- 1d pullback from 0.585
- Tight 1-cent spread
為何暫不行動
Price sits near my fair value with a tight spread and no decisive orderbook or trend signal. Edge is too small to justify a trade.
重新評估條件
1w price up to 0.565 · 1d pullback from 0.585 · Tight 1-cent spread
執行約束
價格 56¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $573,695。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:47:56
操作建議
賣出最佳賣價 ?
56¢24h 成交量 ?
$311,313流動性 ?
$573,695未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
-67.0%動量 ?
-1.8%波動率 ?
0.1%趨勢斜率 ?
-0原因
- 動量下行
- 賣盤深度占優
- 價差不大（<=2¢）
規則說明
- 動量 = 選定區間內的價格變化，負值代表下行。
- 深度不平衡比較買賣盤總量，負值代表賣盤占優。
- 價差 = 最佳賣價 - 最佳買價，越小越容易進出。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
55¢ 8,824.22
54¢ 30,864.96
53¢ 50,357.1
52¢ 17,337.78
51¢ 25,336.08
賣盤
56¢ 71,816.46
57¢ 54,757.81
58¢ 383,364.79
59¢ 41,646.21
60¢ 120,676.16
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:24:09 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:26:07 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:28:20 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:30:09 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:32:06 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:34:09 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:36:06 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:38:08 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:40:09 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:08 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:44:06 55.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:45:09 55.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 06:01:01
Slight negative edge on Yes at current price; the market appears to be pricing a higher hike probability than fundamentals and orderbook support.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:01:26
Slight bearish edge versus current Yes price; liquidity is strong and spread is tight, but the book/price action point modestly lower.
Yes ↓ -2% 8/2/2026, 18:01:52
Slight bearish edge versus current Yes price, with liquidity favoring sellers and no strong upward momentum.
Yes ↓ -2% 8/2/2026, 12:02:26
The market is tightly ranged near 0.59 with strong liquidity and only a small perceived edge. No decisive mispricing is evident.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 14:01:02
$11,400 57¢
賣出 · Yes 8/3/2026, 04:02:09
$12,799 56.27¢
買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 03:48:44
$11,804 58¢
買入 · Yes 8/2/2026, 22:57:53
$7,488 57¢