Yes ↑ +1% 2026/9/20 00:00:59
The market shows modest bullish momentum and strong displayed support, but the estimated probability is close to the current ask after accounting for uncertainty and spread.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
暫無方向
資料缺口執行狀態
觀察
模型偏差 Yes ↑ +1%
置信度 42%
模型運行時價格 22¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/20 00:00:59
即時最佳賣價 22¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/20 00:17:18
模型 OpenAI
Barcelona's implied probability is 21–22%, while recent momentum is positive and the Yes order book shows substantial bid-side depth. However, the long-dated tournament uncertainty and lack of fundamental team information limit conviction, so the estimated edge is small.
觀察觸發點
- Sustained move above 0.25
- Major Barcelona squad or injury news
- Champions League draw or elimination
為何暫不行動
Barcelona's implied probability is 21–22%, while recent momentum is positive and the Yes order book shows substantial bid-side depth. However, the long-dated tournament uncertainty and lack of fundamental team information limit conviction, so the estimated edge is small.
重新評估條件
Sustained move above 0.25 · Major Barcelona squad or injury news · Champions League draw or elimination
執行約束
價格 22¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $406,555。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/20 00:17:18
模型觀點
偏向上行最佳賣價 ?
22¢24h 成交量 ?
$234,394流動性 ?
$406,555未平倉量 ?
$919,451價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
9.6%動量 ?
10.3%波動率 ?
0.8%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 動量上行
- 買盤深度占優
- 價差不大（<=2¢）
規則說明
- 動量 = 選定區間內的價格變化，正值代表上行。
- 深度不平衡比較買賣盤總量，正值代表買盤占優。
- 價差 = 最佳賣價 - 最佳買價，越小越容易進出。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
21¢ 33.47
20¢ 3,990.72
19¢ 103,580.32
18¢ 239,265.36
17¢ 16,628.74
賣盤
22¢ 9,939.01
23¢ 10,792.75
24¢ 13,021.09
25¢ 265,450
26¢ 375
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/19 23:54:17 21.5¢
2026/9/19 23:56:16 21.5¢
2026/9/19 23:58:16 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:00:25 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:02:15 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:04:14 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:06:10 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:08:16 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:10:17 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:12:15 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:14:11 21.5¢
2026/9/20 00:15:17 21.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。