Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 12:02:22
Price looks efficient near 0.68 with no clear mispricing; modest event risk and balanced order book do not justify a directional bet.
統一市場視圖
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀察觸發點
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -3%
置信度 63%
模型運行時價格 68¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 12:02:22
即時最佳賣價 70¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 17:47:48
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Price looks efficient near 0.68 with no clear mispricing; modest event risk and balanced order book do not justify a directional bet.
觀察觸發點
- Tight 0.01 spread
- Near-term price drift is mild
- Event risk exists but is hard to time
為何暫不行動
Price looks efficient near 0.68 with no clear mispricing; modest event risk and balanced order book do not justify a directional bet.
重新評估條件
Tight 0.01 spread · Near-term price drift is mild · Event risk exists but is hard to time
執行約束
價格 70¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $92,725。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 17:47:48
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
70¢24h 成交量 ?
$67,533流動性 ?
$92,725未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
5.7%動量 ?
3.0%波動率 ?
0.3%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
69¢ 1,157.52
68¢ 2,653.89
67¢ 10,701.86
66¢ 3,074.14
65¢ 233.46
賣盤
70¢ 2,157.25
71¢ 2,465.26
72¢ 3,914.81
73¢ 6,947.33
74¢ 405
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 17:26:09 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:28:22 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:30:12 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:32:08 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:34:11 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:36:09 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:38:11 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:40:12 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:42:11 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:44:09 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:46:11 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 17:47:11 69.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -2% 8/3/2026, 06:02:00
Price is near fair value with modest sell pressure offset by deep liquidity and no strong new catalyst in the provided data.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交目前 24h 快取中暫無相關大額成交。