Yes ↓ -1% 8/3/2026, 18:02:18
Current price appears a bit rich versus the remaining event risk; orderbook leans against further upside and there is no strong fresh catalyst to justify paying 0.69.
統一市場視圖
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀望：價格接近合理值
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -1%
置信度 64%
模型運行時價格 69¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 18:02:18
即時最佳賣價 70¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 18:50:16
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Current price appears a bit rich versus the remaining event risk; orderbook leans against further upside and there is no strong fresh catalyst to justify paying 0.69.
觀察觸發點
- Best ask 0.70 vs bid 0.69
- Ask depth heavier than bid depth
- Price rose 4c in 24h
為何暫不行動
Current price appears a bit rich versus the remaining event risk; orderbook leans against further upside and there is no strong fresh catalyst to justify paying 0.69.
重新評估條件
Best ask 0.70 vs bid 0.69 · Ask depth heavier than bid depth · Price rose 4c in 24h
執行約束
價格 70¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $77,490。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 18:50:16
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
70¢24h 成交量 ?
$72,843流動性 ?
$77,490未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
-61.8%動量 ?
1.5%波動率 ?
0.1%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
69¢ 2,441.19
68¢ 2,845.66
67¢ 1,399.99
66¢ 286
65¢ 125.88
賣盤
70¢ 10,461.99
71¢ 13,991.45
72¢ 459.99
73¢ 4,949.79
74¢ 168.54
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 18:25:07 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:27:07 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:29:10 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:31:09 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:33:09 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:35:07 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:37:11 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:39:10 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:41:07 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:43:10 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:45:07 69.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:46:10 69.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 12:01:52
Slight bearish edge on Yes versus current price. The recent decline and strong No-side depth suggest modest downside unless fresh de-escalation headlines emerge.
Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 06:01:39
The price has drifted up, but the book and recent action do not show a strong enough mispricing to justify a fresh entry at 0.70.
Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 00:01:51
No clear pricing edge at current levels; liquidity is healthy but the market is already near the upper end of its recent range, so the expected value is roughly fair.
Yes ↓ -4% 8/2/2026, 18:01:29
Current Yes price seems slightly above fair value; momentum is strong but likely overextended relative to near-term orderbook and recent drift.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 14:48:38
$6,061 69¢