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預測歷史

Market #3102462

8/12/2026, 06:01:30 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 中線 當前價 27¢

Current Yes price looks rich versus the weak Yes-side book and recent price action; the market implies a higher hit chance than I estimate.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Yes bid depth is thin vs ask depth · No side shows strong imbalance · Yes price drifted down over 6h/1d
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -6% 置信度 67%

Yes trades near 0.27 while orderbook heavily favors No; recent drift is down on Yes and the move away from 95-hit risk outweighs the modest upward weekly trend.