Yes ↓ -4% 8/3/2026, 18:01:16
Price is already very high with a tight spread, and recent upward momentum may be mostly reflected. No strong mispricing or liquidity dislocation suggests a clear buy/sell edge.
統一市場視圖
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀察觸發點
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -4%
置信度 72%
模型運行時價格 91¢ 模型運行: 8/3/2026, 18:01:16
即時最佳賣價 89¢ 即時更新: 8/3/2026, 18:50:16
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Price is already very high with a tight spread, and recent upward momentum may be mostly reflected. No strong mispricing or liquidity dislocation suggests a clear buy/sell edge.
觀察觸發點
- Best ask near 0.92
- Uptrend already priced in
- Tight 1c spread
為何暫不行動
Price is already very high with a tight spread, and recent upward momentum may be mostly reflected. No strong mispricing or liquidity dislocation suggests a clear buy/sell edge.
重新評估條件
Best ask near 0.92 · Uptrend already priced in · Tight 1c spread
執行約束
價格 89¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $62,248。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/3/2026, 18:50:16
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
89¢24h 成交量 ?
$249,829流動性 ?
$62,248未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
-12.8%動量 ?
0.0%波動率 ?
0.5%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
88¢ 3,541.99
87¢ 4,534.86
86¢ 4,129.49
85¢ 11,015.26
84¢ 213.09
賣盤
89¢ 810.38
90¢ 5,383.72
91¢ 5,611.61
92¢ 11,653.2
93¢ 6,852.54
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/3/2026, 18:28:09 87.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:30:11 87.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:32:09 88¢
8/3/2026, 18:34:10 88¢
8/3/2026, 18:36:07 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:38:10 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:40:20 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:42:09 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:44:10 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:46:10 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:48:10 88.5¢
8/3/2026, 18:49:10 88.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史Yes ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 12:01:21
Slight overpricing of Yes versus my estimate, with weak near-term momentum and decent liquidity for execution.
Yes ↓ -2% 8/3/2026, 06:01:14
The market already implies a very high ceasefire persistence probability, and recent momentum is mostly one-sided. With no clear mispricing and decent liquidity, the best call is to wait.
相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 17:42:56
$18,283 90¢
買入 · Yes 8/3/2026, 15:24:09
$8,987 89¢
買入 · No 8/3/2026, 13:26:48
$5,134 13.54¢