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預測歷史

Market #3155068

8/3/2026, 18:05:11 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 99.9¢

No actionable edge at current price; buying offers negligible expected value and selling is impractical at this level.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Current price 0.999 · Tiny 0.001 spread · No detectable edge
Miami Marlins 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 99%

Price is already at 0.999, leaving essentially no upside; the market is fully saturated and the spread is minimal.

8/3/2026, 12:04:50 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 賣出 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 99.9¢

Marlins are priced at the ceiling with a 0.001 spread; there is no positive expected value to buy at current levels.

觸發點 bestAsk at 1.0 · lastTrade near 0.999 · No upside left
Miami Marlins 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -100% 置信度 99%

Price is 0.999, leaving essentially no upside. Market has fully priced in a Marlins win, so estimated edge is negative versus fair value.

8/3/2026, 06:04:30 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 99.9¢

The market is effectively max-priced, leaving no actionable edge and very poor risk/reward for a new long position.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 bestAsk at 1.0 · lastTrade 0.999 · No clear informational edge
Miami Marlins 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 98%

Price is already near 1.0 with minimal spread and no independent team/injury/probability edge provided; model cannot justify additional upside.

8/3/2026, 00:06:32 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 99.9¢

Current price is pinned near 1.0, so expected value is negligible and execution edge is poor despite high liquidity.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 bestAsk at 1.0 · bestBid at 0.999 · No meaningful edge
Miami Marlins 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 98%

Price is already at 0.999 with a 0.001 spread, leaving essentially no upside and no detectable mispricing from the provided data.

8/2/2026, 18:05:30 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 賣出 時間尺度 短線 當前價 99.9¢

The current price appears extremely stretched relative to any reasonable win probability; with best ask at 1.0 and best bid at 0.999, there is no favorable entry to buy the Marlins.

觸發點 Current price near max · Spread is extremely tight · 1d/1w move already exhausted
Miami Marlins 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -8% 置信度 93%

Price is pinned at 0.999 with an ultra-tight spread and heavy recent move higher, leaving essentially no upside and meaningful reversal risk from the current quote.