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預測歷史

Market #3155108

8/3/2026, 18:04:40 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 99.9¢

The market is at the ceiling with a 0.001 spread, so there is no actionable positive edge on Miami at current price.

說明 AI 建议不一致或置信度不足,降级为观望

觸發點 bestAsk at 1.0 · last trade 0.999 · spread only 0.001
Miami Marlins 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -100% 置信度 99%

Price is pinned at 0.999, leaving essentially no upside. Even if Miami is favored, the current market already prices near certainty, so the edge is effectively zero to negative after execution risk.

8/3/2026, 12:04:16 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 99.9¢

Price is already at the extreme; spread is tiny but the expected value is negligible and there is no visible edge.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Current price near 1.0 · No detectable positive edge · Tiny spread, but no upside
Miami Marlins 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 98%

The market is priced at 0.999 for Miami Marlins, leaving essentially no upside. With no corroborating game fundamentals provided, the fair value is indistinguishable from the current price.

8/3/2026, 06:03:59 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 99.9¢

Extreme price and near-zero spread leave no favorable entry; avoid buying at 0.999.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Best ask at 1.0 · Current price 0.999 · No positive edge at ceiling
Miami Marlins 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 99%

Price is already at the upper bound (0.999) with no usable upside left; edge is effectively zero despite recent momentum.

8/3/2026, 00:04:27 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 賣出 時間尺度 短線 當前價 99.9¢

Price is at the ceiling with a 0.001 spread and no remaining positive edge; short-term move risk is far more likely than further meaningful upside.

觸發點 bestAsk at 1.0 · last trade 0.999 · edge effectively zero/negative
Miami Marlins 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -100% 置信度 99%

Marlins are priced at 0.999, leaving essentially no upside; the market already implies near-certain win, so expected value is negative versus price.