買賣點 觀望 時間尺度
到期前 當前價
45.6¢
Current price is roughly fair for a low-probability touch event, with no clear mispricing and mixed short-term momentum versus long-run odds.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Yes bid/ask is tight near 0.456 · Recent Yes trend is down on 1h/6h · Liquidity is decent but not extreme edge
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差
-5% 置信度
63%
Yes trades near 0.456 but the threshold is an extreme new ATH-style print for August; recent 1h/6h orderbook and history show Yes weakening from 0.43-0.57 with selling pressure, implying only a modest chance of a touch before expiry.