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預測歷史

Market #3279684

8/3/2026, 18:00:36 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 64¢

Price has already moved materially toward Fritz, leaving only a modest edge. Liquidity is strong, but the current quote looks fairly efficient.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 1w drift to 0.64 · Tight 1c spread · No large mispricing
Taylor Fritz 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差 +3% 置信度 62%

Fritz is priced near 0.64, but the market has drifted up from 0.55 over the week and remains supported by deep liquidity and a tight spread. Edge is small because the current price already reflects much of the move.

8/3/2026, 12:00:47 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 62¢

Price has been stable around 0.615-0.62 and looks efficient; depth is adequate but there is no clear mispricing.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Flat 1h and 6h price action · Small spread at 1 cent · No strong new information signal
Taylor Fritz 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差 +1% 置信度 58%

Fritz is rightly favored, but the market already prices him near 62% with tight spread and no fresh catalyst; small edge only.

8/3/2026, 06:00:39 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 62¢

Price has already moved up meaningfully and now sits in a balanced range with no strong confirmation of further upside.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 1d and 1w gains already priced in · 1h flat, momentum stalled · tight 1c spread
Taylor Fritz 中性 → 預測偏差 -3% 置信度 58%

Fritz is priced at 0.62 after a steady week-long rise, but the move has stalled near the top of a tight spread. Depth is not strongly mispriced versus the current price, so there is little clear edge.

8/3/2026, 00:01:10 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 中線 當前價 63¢

Fritz is favored, but the current price looks efficient with limited edge and modest spread; better to wait than chase at 0.63.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Stable last-trade near 0.63 · No strong momentum shift · Balanced liquidity and tight spread
Taylor Fritz 中性 → 預測偏差 -3% 置信度 66%

Price around 0.63 already implies a strong Fritz win; market has been stable and orderbook is fairly balanced, so there is no clear mispricing.