Yes ↓ -6% 8/19/2026, 18:01:08
Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus orderbook depth and recent drift toward No, with limited evidence of a near-term downside spike to the strike.
統一市場視圖
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
在一個頁面查看模型觀點、訂單簿、價格歷史和相關鯨魚流向。
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
決策狀態
觀察觸發點
觀望
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -6%
置信度 77%
模型運行時價格 14.5¢ 模型運行: 8/19/2026, 18:01:08
即時最佳賣價 13.8¢ 即時更新: 8/19/2026, 19:54:46
模型 gpt-5.4-mini
Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus orderbook depth and recent drift toward No, with limited evidence of a near-term downside spike to the strike.
觀察觸發點
- Yes bid depth is strong but ask pressure still caps upside
- No trades around 85.5% imply market leaning away from the dip
- 1h/1d trend on Yes remains flat-to-down
為何暫不行動
Current Yes price looks a bit rich versus orderbook depth and recent drift toward No, with limited evidence of a near-term downside spike to the strike.
重新評估條件
Yes bid depth is strong but ask pressure still caps upside · No trades around 85.5% imply market leaning away from the dip · 1h/1d trend on Yes remains flat-to-down
執行約束
價格 13.8¢ · 價差 0.1 pts · 流動性 $72,415。僅在模型觀點與市場盤口一致時行動。
概要
更新時間 8/19/2026, 19:54:46
操作建議
觀望最佳賣價 ?
13.8¢24h 成交量 ?
$199,501流動性 ?
$72,415未平倉量 ?
—價差 ?
0.1¢深度不平衡 ?
80.2%動量 ?
-67.3%波動率 ?
4.5%趨勢斜率 ?
-0原因
- 波動過大
規則說明
- 波動過大時降級為觀望，避免噪音。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
13.7¢ 125.92
13.3¢ 14.9
13¢ 12
12.5¢ 10
12.4¢ 16,687
賣盤
13.8¢ 790
13.9¢ 550
14¢ 5
14.2¢ 17.38
14.3¢ 490
價格歷史
區間: 6h
8/19/2026, 19:32:14 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:34:13 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:36:14 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:38:26 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:40:16 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:42:15 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:44:15 14.45¢
8/19/2026, 19:46:12 13.75¢
8/19/2026, 19:48:14 13.75¢
8/19/2026, 19:50:15 13.75¢
8/19/2026, 19:52:12 13.75¢
8/19/2026, 19:53:14 13.75¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · No 8/19/2026, 15:22:18
$14,289 78.98¢
買入 · Yes 8/19/2026, 13:34:46
$7,593 42.24¢