返回

預測歷史

Market #3310013

8/9/2026, 12:02:34 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 45¢

Slight downside edge on Yes at current price; book and recent flow favor No more than the price implies.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 No bid depth far exceeds Yes · Yes ask side is much thicker · Short-term Yes trend softened
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -3% 置信度 58%

Yes is trading near 0.45, but orderbook depth heavily favors No and the short-term history is flat to slightly down for Yes. The recent 24h move is up, yet the current price looks a bit rich versus the market-implied chance of reaching 85.