買賣點 觀望 時間尺度
短線 當前價
31.8¢
No clear positive edge on Fearnley at current price; momentum and book both point to Mensik, but the move has already been large and spread is small, so avoid chasing.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Jacob price above my estimate · Mensik book depth is much stronger · Recent sharp price swing already priced in
Jacob Fearnley 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差
-2% 置信度
62%
Market has Jacob around 0.318, but orderbook and history favor Mensik; recent sharp move widened, yet overall pricing still implies Fearnley slightly more than my estimate.