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預測歷史

Market #3533571

8/14/2026, 00:03:23 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 短線 當前價 99.9¢

No clear edge at current price; liquidity is high but the ask is effectively at par, so expected value is negligible.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Best ask near 1.0 · Tiny spread · No detectable mispricing
Thiago Agustin Tirante 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 98%

Price is already at 0.999 with a 0.001 spread, leaving no meaningful upside versus implied probability; the market appears fully priced.