返回

預測歷史

Market #3654462

8/19/2026, 00:03:01 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 99.9¢

No meaningful edge at 0.999; the market is already at the ceiling, so expected value for buying is negligible and downside is limited to noise/resolution risk.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Price at 0.999 · Tiny 0.001 spread · No incremental edge
Sara Bejlek 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 99%

Sara Bejlek is priced at 0.999 with an extreme, illiquid-looking book and no visible upside from current levels; fair value appears already fully reflected.