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預測歷史

Market #3689372

8/20/2026, 00:03:47 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 到期前 當前價 99.9¢

No clear edge at 0.999 with a 0.001 spread; the market appears fully priced and trading room is negligible.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Best ask at 1.00 · Best bid at 0.999 · No material edge
Arthur Fils 中性 → 預測偏差 0% 置信度 86%

Price is already pinned near 1.00, leaving no practical upside and little informational edge despite strong market conviction.