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預測歷史

Market #3700196

8/25/2026, 12:01:52 gpt-5.4-mini
買賣點 觀望 時間尺度 中線 當前價 75¢

Yes appears a bit overbought relative to the current event risk and lack of immediate bullish catalyst.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Yes at 0.75 · 1h drift down · ask depth outweighs bid
Yes 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -3% 置信度 62%

Price 0.75 implies continued non-escalation, but the market is already richly priced and recent drift is only modestly supportive. With the long horizon and no fresh catalyst, I see slightly less than fair value for Yes.