返回

預測歷史

Market #3945853

2026/9/2 18:01:50 OpenAI
模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度 中線 當前價 40¢

Fabian Marozsan trades near 0.40-0.41, while recent momentum is weaker than Michael Zheng's across the daily and weekly windows. Zheng also has stronger top-of-book bid depth. The available data supports a modestly lower fair probability around 0.39, but the edge is small.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Reassess below 0.38 · Reassess above 0.43 · Update on player status
Fabian Marozsan 看跌 ↓ 預測偏差 -1% 置信度 58%

Fabian Marozsan trades near 0.40-0.41, while recent momentum is weaker than Michael Zheng's across the daily and weekly windows. Zheng also has stronger top-of-book bid depth. The available data supports a modestly lower fair probability around 0.39, but the edge is small.