預測歷史

Market #3945919

2026/8/31 18:01:25 OpenAI
模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度 中線 當前價 89.6¢

The market implies an approximately 89.6% chance, while the sustained price surge and stronger bid depth support a slightly higher estimate near 90.0%. However, the extreme recent repricing and elevated short-term volatility make overreaction risk substantial.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 New injury or withdrawal information · Price moves materially below 0.88 · Price sustains above 0.92
Stefanos Tsitsipas 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差 0% 置信度 35%

The market implies an approximately 89.6% chance, while the sustained price surge and stronger bid depth support a slightly higher estimate near 90.0%. However, the extreme recent repricing and elevated short-term volatility make overreaction risk substantial.