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預測歷史

Market #4052418

2026/9/21 18:01:42 OpenAI
模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度 中線 當前價 73.5¢

Yes is priced near 73.5% after a sharp multi-horizon rise, while substantial top-level bid depth and strong recent momentum support a slightly higher estimated probability. The one-hour pullback and elevated volatility limit conviction.

說明 edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

觸發點 Sustained break above 0.815 · One-day momentum turns negative · Bid depth imbalance normalizes
Yes 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差 +2% 置信度 56%

Yes is priced near 73.5% after a sharp multi-horizon rise, while substantial top-level bid depth and strong recent momentum support a slightly higher estimated probability. The one-hour pullback and elevated volatility limit conviction.