模型觀點 觀察 時間尺度
中線 當前價
42¢
Yes is priced near 0.42, while strong six-hour and one-day momentum suggests a slightly higher implied probability around 0.45. The recent surge and heavier ask depth increase reversal risk, so the edge remains modest and should be revisited if momentum fades or price falls below 0.38.
說明 edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
觸發點 Yes price falls below 0.38 · Yes price breaks above 0.46 · Momentum turns negative
Yes 看漲 ↑ 預測偏差
+3% 置信度
55%
Yes is priced near 0.42, while strong six-hour and one-day momentum suggests a slightly higher implied probability around 0.45. The recent surge and heavier ask depth increase reversal risk, so the edge remains modest and should be revisited if momentum fades or price falls below 0.38.