Yes ↓ -1% 2026/9/15 18:02:31
Recent momentum is improving, but broader trend deterioration and substantial ask depth offset the rebound.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
暫無方向
觀望：價格接近合理值執行狀態
觀察
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -1%
置信度 56%
模型運行時價格 57¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/15 18:02:31
即時最佳賣價 54¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/15 18:44:03
模型 OpenAI
The Yes price has rebounded sharply over the past hour but remains in a pronounced one-day and one-week downtrend. Heavy sell-side depth near the ask suggests resistance, while the long time to expiry limits conviction that the current price is materially mispriced.
觀察觸發點
- Sustained Yes price above 0.66
- Yes price falls below 0.58
- Bitcoin approaches or rejects $80,000
為何暫不行動
The Yes price has rebounded sharply over the past hour but remains in a pronounced one-day and one-week downtrend. Heavy sell-side depth near the ask suggests resistance, while the long time to expiry limits conviction that the current price is materially mispriced.
重新評估條件
Sustained Yes price above 0.66 · Yes price falls below 0.58 · Bitcoin approaches or rejects $80,000
執行約束
價格 54¢ · 價差 1 pts · 流動性 $46,696。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/15 18:44:03
模型觀點
觀察最佳賣價 ?
54¢24h 成交量 ?
$104,412流動性 ?
$46,696未平倉量 ?
$2,277,553價差 ?
1¢深度不平衡 ?
4.6%動量 ?
-9.8%波動率 ?
1.8%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
51¢ 45
50¢ 548
49¢ 1,621.42
48¢ 18,225
43¢ 3,285
賣盤
52¢ 40
53¢ 18,240
54¢ 3,200
55¢ 137.11
56¢ 20
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/15 18:18:12 59.5¢
2026/9/15 18:20:13 60.5¢
2026/9/15 18:22:08 60.5¢
2026/9/15 18:24:12 60.5¢
2026/9/15 18:26:12 60.5¢
2026/9/15 18:28:13 59.5¢
2026/9/15 18:30:13 62.5¢
2026/9/15 18:32:13 61.5¢
2026/9/15 18:34:13 58.5¢
2026/9/15 18:36:21 60.5¢
2026/9/15 18:38:12 55.5¢
2026/9/15 18:40:14 55.5¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · No 2026/9/15 17:34:01
$5,340 89¢
賣出 · No 2026/9/15 15:45:15
$9,713 78¢
買入 · No 2026/9/15 14:35:24
$5,750 46¢