Yes ↓ -1% 2026/9/15 18:01:14
The primary outcome appears slightly above estimated fair value after a rapid repricing, with heavy ask liquidity indicating near-term resistance.
研究邊界
這是市場情報，不是投資建議。交易前請自行核對規則、流動性、價格和風險。
模型方向
模型傾向：看低
觀望：價格接近合理值執行狀態
待確認
模型偏差 Yes ↓ -1%
置信度 57%
模型運行時價格 19.1¢ 模型運行: 2026/9/15 18:01:14
即時最佳賣價 18.4¢ 即時更新: 2026/9/15 18:42:01
模型 OpenAI
Yes is priced around 18.3% at the quoted spread, while the sharp recent rally appears momentum-driven and faces substantial ask-side depth. The estimated probability is modestly lower, though the long horizon and limited fundamental information create material uncertainty.
觀察觸發點
- Ask depth is absorbed
- Price holds above 0.20
- New candidate-field information
為何仍需確認
Yes is priced around 18.3% at the quoted spread, while the sharp recent rally appears momentum-driven and faces substantial ask-side depth. The estimated probability is modestly lower, though the long horizon and limited fundamental information create material uncertainty.
重新評估條件
Ask depth is absorbed · Price holds above 0.20 · New candidate-field information
執行約束
價格 18.4¢ · 價差 1.2 pts · 流動性 $394,216。模型觀點僅供研究，請結合即時盤口獨立核實。
概要
更新時間 2026/9/15 18:42:01
模型觀點
觀察最佳賣價 ?
18.4¢24h 成交量 ?
$339,779流動性 ?
$394,216未平倉量 ?
$9,434,948價差 ?
1.2¢深度不平衡 ?
-21.9%動量 ?
39.6%波動率 ?
1.7%趨勢斜率 ?
0原因
- 暫無明顯優勢
規則說明
- 沒有明顯的買/賣優勢。
訂單簿
Outcome Yes
買盤
17.2¢ 20.99
17.1¢ 200.1
17¢ 799.99
16.7¢ 99
16.4¢ 1,236.55
賣盤
18.4¢ 90.25
18.7¢ 823.96
18.8¢ 1,511
18.9¢ 1,050
19¢ 202
價格歷史
區間: 6h
2026/9/15 18:20:13 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:22:09 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:24:13 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:26:13 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:28:14 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:30:14 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:32:13 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:34:13 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:36:22 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:38:12 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:40:14 17.8¢
2026/9/15 18:41:14 17.8¢
預測歷史
完整歷史相關鯨魚流向
全部成交買入 · Yes 2026/9/15 16:38:46
$28,543 20¢
買入 · Yes 2026/9/15 16:37:03
$9,990 19.37¢
買入 · Yes 2026/9/15 15:58:52
$12,900 15.3¢